What is Probable?

Probable is a crypto-native prediction platform on BNB Chain that lets you trade on the outcome of real-world events across politics, economics, sports, crypto, and more. By trading on your expectations, you can profit from your knowledge and insights about future events.

Key Features:

  • Wide Range of Markets: Probable offers markets on sports, politics, finance, crypto, and more. If it’s a future event you care about, you can suggestarrow-up-right a market for it.

  • On-chain: Deployed on BNB Chain, all trades and outcomes are settled on-chain providing transparent and verifiable history. Users trade using USDT (more collateral options to be supported soon) and benefit from BNB Chain’s low transaction costs and fast confirmations.

  • Simple Shares Mechanism: Each market outcome is represented by shares priced between $0 and $1. If the outcome happens, each share is worth $1 at settlement; if not, it expires worthless. This means the price of a share directly corresponds to the market’s perceived probability of that outcome.

  • Flexibility: You can enter or exit positions at any time before an event concludes. You might buy shares early and later sell them to lock in profits, or hold until final resolution to get the full payout if you’re correct.

  • Orderbook style: Probable simply matches traders with opposing views via orderbook liquidity. Markets are driven by users’ trades and are unbiased, real-time odds.

  • Zero Fees: No fees is charged to users for trades or deposit / withdrawal of funds.

  • Gas-less: Probable sponsors gas fee for all user trades. Users need to pay gas fees for deposits / withdrawals to their in-app wallet.

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